باحثون يتوقعون وصول 400 ألف لاجئ إلى ألمانيا هذا العام

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توقع باحثون وصول ما يتراوح بين 300 ألف و400 ألف لاجئ جديد إلى ألمانيا خلال العام الجاري.

وأعلن المعهد الألماني لأبحاث السوق والتوظيف في مدينة نورنبرج اليوم الجمعة أن عدد اللاجئين الوافدين إلى ألمانيا سيتراجع بذلك بواقع الثلثين مقارنة بالعام الماضي.

وقال الباحث لدى المعهد هيربرت بروكر إن تلك التقديرات سارية في إطار عدم تغيير الشروط السياسية المتعلقة باللاجئين؛ أي في ظل استمرار تطبيق اتفاقية اللاجئين بين الاتحاد الأوروبي وتركيا وإغلاق طرق البلقان.

يذكر أن 1ر1 مليون لاجئ وصلوا إلى ألمانيا عام 2015.

ويقدر المعهد عدد اللاجئين الذين وصلوا إلى ألمانيا العام الماضي بعد حساب الازدواج الإحصائي، ومواصلة بعض اللاجئين للسفر خارج ألمانيا أو العودة إلى موطنهم بنحو 900 ألف لاجئ.

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