‏توقعات بتراجع التضخم في النمسا

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المصدر: موقع فيينا النمساوي

من المتوقع أن يشهد الاقتصاد النمساوي ركودًا في عام 2023، ولكن من المتوقع أن يتعافى في عام 2024.

وقد شهد الاقتصاد النمساوي تراجعا في شتاء عام 2021. وبالنسبة لعام 2022، فقد كان نمو الناتج المحلي الإجمالي قوياً عند 4.7-4.8٪. و من المرجح أن يشهد عام 2023 ركودًا في الاقتصاد. من عام 2024 فصاعدًا، يتوقع الاقتصاديون أن ينتعش الاقتصاد وينخفض التضخم.

في العام المقبل من المتوقع أن يزيد الناتج الاقتصادي في النمسا بنسبة 0.3 في المائة فقط وفقًا لتقديرات Wifo ، وتتوقع IHS نمو الناتج المحلي الإجمالي بنسبة 0.4 في المائة.

ولا يتوقع الاقتصاديون أن تنتهي الحرب في أوكرانيا قريبًا، لكنهم يعتقدون أن أسواق الطاقة ستتراجع وسيقل التضخم. وهذا من شأنه أن يؤدي إلى تحسن تدريجي في المعنويات والاختيار، مما يؤدي إلى زيادة النشاط الاقتصادي والنمو بنسبة 1.8-1.2٪ في عام 2024.

توقع كل من Wifo و IHS أن التضخم قد بلغ ذروته. بالنسبة لعام 2022 يقدر التضخم بنسبة 8.5٪، لكن سيتراجع إلى 6.5٪ (Wifo) أو 6.7٪ (IHS) في عام 2023 وأخيراً إلى 3.2٪ (Wifo) أو 3.5٪ (IHS) في عام 2024.

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